Ohio State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
305  Sakiko Minagawa SR 20:36
378  Christine Frederick SO 20:43
406  Minori Minagawa SR 20:46
490  Tammy Berger JR 20:54
542  Helen Willman SR 20:58
597  Andrea McArdle SR 21:03
599  Brittany Atkinson FR 21:04
636  Emily Stoodley FR 21:06
656  Lilly Saniel-Banrey FR 21:08
1,609  Rachel Weber JR 22:17
National Rank #77 of 339
Great Lakes Region Rank #9 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.5%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 8.6%
Top 10 in Regional 91.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sakiko Minagawa Christine Frederick Minori Minagawa Tammy Berger Helen Willman Andrea McArdle Brittany Atkinson Emily Stoodley Lilly Saniel-Banrey Rachel Weber
All Ohio Championships 10/02 1235 21:12
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/03 989 20:48 21:05 21:07 20:54 20:55 21:00 21:01 20:38 22:04
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 976 20:19 20:52 20:55 21:04 21:31 21:15 21:09
Big Ten Championships 11/01 940 21:00 20:41 20:27 20:52 21:07 21:13 20:55 21:49 22:36
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/13 875 20:27 20:31 20:44 21:06 20:46 20:53 21:13





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.5% 28.4 716 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.2
Region Championship 100% 7.9 249 0.1 0.1 2.1 6.2 13.4 20.6 24.9 15.2 8.8 4.9 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sakiko Minagawa 2.7% 159.5
Christine Frederick 1.7% 175.0
Minori Minagawa 1.6% 179.0
Tammy Berger 1.6% 196.0
Helen Willman 1.6% 207.0
Andrea McArdle 1.5% 215.5
Brittany Atkinson 1.5% 218.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sakiko Minagawa 39.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.8
Christine Frederick 46.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.9
Minori Minagawa 49.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.5
Tammy Berger 57.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2
Helen Willman 61.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
Andrea McArdle 68.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Brittany Atkinson 68.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 0.1% 71.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3
4 2.1% 32.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.4 0.7 4
5 6.2% 4.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 6.0 0.3 5
6 13.4% 1.8% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.1 0.2 6
7 20.6% 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0.1 20.5 0.1 7
8 24.9% 0.1% 0.0 24.9 0.0 8
9 15.2% 15.2 9
10 8.8% 8.8 10
11 4.9% 4.9 11
12 2.2% 2.2 12
13 0.8% 0.8 13
14 0.3% 0.3 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 0.0% 0.0 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 1.5% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.1 98.5 0.1 1.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
SMU 21.4% 1.0 0.2
Indiana 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0